Industry Notes

Industry Notes / August–December allocation / Chapter 3 of 3 · Table

Sector order

Three tiers: core, torque, ballast

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DimensionTierDirectionsOne line
CoreDomestic AI compute / memory / resources / chemicals / grid+storage exportEarnings + industry trend confirmed
TorqueInnovative drugs/CXO / brokers / defense-space / humanoids / insuranceInflection, still light positioning
BallastCoal / banks / oil / utilities / transportCut drawdowns, not chase alpha
Lower barProperty chain, some consumptionTradeable bounces; no confirmed turn

Tier one must be holdable; tier two favors payoff over hit rate; tier three cuts drawdowns. Property-chain and some consumption lack a fundamental turn—policy windows are trades at best.

Source:A股2026年8月交易逻辑与8-12月配置路线图 §五;公开中报景气数据整理

Research notes, not investment advice.